How High Will the Canadian Dollar Go? Examining the Decline of the Iranian Rial
Friday 7 Feb 2025The Canadian dollar (CAD) to Iranian Rial (IRR) exchange rate has surged significantly in recent days. According to Arzkoocheh, a reliable source for daily exchange rates, the value of CAD has increased from 57,800 Tomans on January 29 to 61,000 Tomans on February 7. This sharp rise indicates the weakening of the Iranian Rial due to economic and political uncertainties. In this article, we will analyze the reasons behind the rising exchange rate, the impact of U.S. sanctions, the role of FATF, a

Why Is the Canadian Dollar Rising Against the Iranian Rial?
1. Iran’s Rejection of U.S. Negotiations and Economic Uncertainty
One of the primary reasons for the depreciation of the Iranian Rial is the recent statement by Iran’s Supreme Leader rejecting negotiations with the United States. This has increased market uncertainty, leading investors to seek safer assets such as foreign currencies like CAD, USD, and EUR.
2. The Impact of FATF on Iran’s Currency Market
Recently, discussions on Iran joining the FATF (Financial Action Task Force) have resurfaced. If Iran agrees to these regulations, it could ease banking restrictions and facilitate foreign currency inflows. However, political ambiguity and hesitation in decision-making continue to create economic instability.
3. U.S. Sanctions and Limited Foreign Exchange Reserves
Another major factor behind the rising exchange rate is the U.S. threat of new sanctions and stricter restrictions on Iran’s oil exports. With limited access to foreign reserves, the demand for foreign currencies has risen, causing CAD to gain value against the Rial.
What’s Next for the Canadian Dollar in Iran?
There are two possible scenarios for Iran’s exchange rate trends in the coming weeks:
If Iran and the U.S. engage in diplomatic talks, tensions could ease, leading to a stabilization or even a decline in the exchange rate.
If sanctions intensify and Iran fails to join FATF, the Rial could depreciate further, pushing the CAD to even higher levels.
Conclusion: Will the Canadian Dollar Continue to Rise?
The CAD to IRR exchange rate has seen a significant increase over the past 10 days.
The Iranian Rial has weakened due to political tensions and economic instability.
Iran’s refusal to negotiate with the U.S. and its indecision on FATF are key factors driving the exchange rate higher.
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